Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 115.176992 130.975034 148.397145 169.076826 193.006953 219.890241 252.466324
2026-01-18 94.243638 115.290925 140.455779 172.925607 213.947690 264.361551 331.485451
2026-01-25 80.230124 103.302363 132.507636 172.512374 226.384744 297.124827 398.211593
2026-02-01 71.178822 95.508931 127.763821 174.165162 240.045857 331.494930 470.266749
2026-02-08 62.814794 87.226679 120.863772 171.294103 246.190318 355.233981 529.573293
2026-02-15 57.357257 82.143585 117.508416 172.561137 257.769882 387.431200 605.111028
2026-02-22 53.065825 78.152126 115.098200 174.629047 270.349816 422.120094 688.883983
2026-03-01 47.915370 72.290406 109.188604 170.455742 272.320900 439.812128 746.510998
2026-03-08 43.702175 67.419710 104.247723 167.134519 275.024874 458.613765 808.141999
2026-03-15 40.444803 63.725178 100.758387 165.709098 280.549269 482.552032 882.010591
2026-03-22 39.060639 62.900813 101.785866 171.910981 299.877945 532.981198 1012.913945
2026-03-29 37.557170 61.722545 102.072137 176.770718 317.218080 581.718664 1147.794217
2026-04-05 34.784543 58.380964 98.749160 175.552342 324.552598 615.196876 1263.380193
2026-04-12 33.035611 56.681491 98.180474 179.449348 342.456084 672.616667 1442.429267
2026-04-19 30.846969 53.979833 95.518734 179.012844 351.622844 713.459039 1592.421973
2026-04-26 29.178640 52.057074 94.074711 180.734679 365.356057 765.912895 1780.012528
2026-05-03 27.090114 49.159477 90.503830 177.743185 368.640889 795.776231 1918.309804
2026-05-10 25.712566 47.483915 89.114785 179.063333 381.461418 849.208242 2127.968972
2026-05-17 24.547184 46.112037 88.182401 181.218027 396.409606 909.941212 2370.436214
2026-05-24 22.810829 43.467181 84.448598 176.869703 395.687347 932.344568 2511.228812
2026-05-31 21.317412 41.190579 81.270338 173.409540 396.624883 959.063643 2670.569493
2026-06-07 20.135201 39.455028 79.068977 171.924584 402.188456 998.638587 2877.758913
2026-06-14 19.741323 39.319227 80.245095 178.385916 428.538283 1098.050719 3296.555495